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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55104 · Census Tract 27123043002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$743K
Downside (P10)
$710K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$861K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+52% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $591K | $617K | $576K | $619K | $707K | $743K | $789K | $835K | $861K |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | -6.7% | +7.5% | +14.2% | +5.1% | +6.2% | +5.8% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $683K | $695K | $710K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $951K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$683K to $951K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$710K to $1.13M
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034900) | $551K | $618K | +12.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035100) | $580K | $629K | +8.4% | |
| North Oaks | $797K | $815K | +2.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043001) | $526K | $535K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034203) | $421K | $494K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Paul | $731K | $861K | $420K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.