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St. Louis, MN · ZIP 55768 · Census Tract 27137012800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$199K
Downside (P10)
$171K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$208K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$286K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $114K | $122K | $124K | $136K | $141K | $159K | $161K | $164K | $179K | $191K | $199K | $204K | $211K | $208K |
| YoY Change | +6.6% | +2.2% | +9.8% | +3.7% | +12.7% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +8.8% | +6.9% | +4.1% | +2.6% | +3.3% | -1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $167K | $167K | $171K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $237K | $259K | $286K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$167K to $237K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$171K to $286K
55.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Iron | $198K | $208K | +5.2% | |
| Toivola area | $204K | $226K | +10.8% | |
| Sandy area | $192K | $212K | +10.5% | |
| Duluth (Tract 003800) | $193K | $209K | +8.1% | |
| Duluth (Tract 003000) | $208K | $221K | +6.0% | |
| Duluth (Tract 002000) | $195K | $205K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Iron | $198K | $208K | +5.2% | |
| Hibbing (Tract 012100) | $162K | $190K | +16.8% | |
| Duluth (Tract 015600) | $125K | $145K | +15.6% | |
| Hibbing (Tract 012200) | $86K | $98K | +13.6% | |
| Duluth (Tract 015700) | $316K | $358K | +13.4% | |
| Duluth (Tract 001900) | $557K | $629K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mountain Iron | $198K | $208K | $115K | |
| Virginia (Tract 013000) | $113K | $126K | $57K | |
| Gilbert | $127K | $134K | $55K | |
| Babbitt | $104K | $112K | $52K | |
| Eveleth | $99K | $102K | $52K | |
| Virginia (Tract 013100) | $81K | $91K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.