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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cass, MO · ZIP 64012 · Census Tract 29037061300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$193K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$211K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$303K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $109K | $103K | $111K | $116K | $124K | $138K | $144K | $162K | $177K | $189K | $193K | $202K | $205K | $211K | $196K |
| YoY Change | -5.4% | +7.8% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +11.0% | +4.3% | +13.2% | +8.8% | +6.9% | +2.3% | +4.4% | +1.7% | +2.8% | -6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $166K | $160K | $172K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $256K | $303K | $222K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$171K to $235K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$172K to $222K
25.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymore | $189K | $211K | +11.3% | |
| Belton (Tract 060003) | $237K | $260K | +9.6% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $214K | $233K | +8.7% | |
| Belton (Tract 060004) | $230K | $234K | +1.6% | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 060904) | $212K | $212K | -0.1% | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 061400) | $209K | $208K | -0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymore | $189K | $211K | +11.3% | |
| Grand River | $353K | $408K | +15.5% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $126K | $146K | +15.5% | |
| Raymore | $307K | $354K | +15.5% | |
| Polk | $413K | $471K | +14.1% | |
| Dayton area | $271K | $300K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymore | $189K | $211K | $143K | |
| Dayton area | $271K | $300K | $134K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060202) | $214K | $233K | $128K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 060904) | $212K | $212K | $127K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 061400) | $209K | $208K | $122K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060100) | $126K | $146K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.