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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Clay, MO · ZIP 64068 · Census Tract 29047021401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$319K
Downside (P10)
$289K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$355K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$418K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $179K | $188K | $197K | $216K | $228K | $242K | $282K | $287K | $300K | $319K | $330K | $339K | $355K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | +4.5% | +5.2% | +9.5% | +5.7% | +5.8% | +16.7% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +6.6% | +3.5% | +2.7% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $296K | $290K | $289K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $372K | $397K | $418K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$296K to $372K
23.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$289K to $418K
36.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 214.1) | $313K | $355K | +13.4% | |
| Liberty (Tract 021404) | $313K | $344K | +10.0% | |
| Liberty (Tract 022302) | $307K | $332K | +7.9% | |
| Washington | $321K | $344K | +7.3% | |
| Fishing River | $305K | $324K | +6.3% | |
| Kansas City | $327K | $344K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 214.1) | $313K | $355K | +13.4% | |
| Chouteau | $178K | $210K | +18.3% | |
| Gladstone | $245K | $281K | +14.9% | |
| Kansas City | $254K | $291K | +14.8% | |
| Washington | $234K | $269K | +14.7% | |
| Liberty | $282K | $322K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty · 64068 · (Tract 214.1) | $313K | $355K | $129K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 020201) | $157K | $161K | $92K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 020604) | $183K | $199K | $90K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 020500) | $195K | $208K | $88K | |
| Chouteau | $164K | $180K | $77K | |
| Washington | $147K | $157K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.