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County 29268, MO · Census Tract 29268000441 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$434K
Downside (P10)
$336K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$558K
+29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$858K
+98% by 2030
Base case: +29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +98%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $434K | $482K | $494K | $524K | $558K |
| YoY Change | +11.1% | +2.6% | +5.9% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $356K | $335K | $326K | $336K | |
| Upside (P90) | $638K | $707K | $749K | $858K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$356K to $638K
58.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$336K to $858K
93.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000441 | $434K | $558K | +28.6% | |
| Tract 000946 | $433K | $527K | +21.9% | |
| Tract 001068 | $434K | $520K | +19.9% | |
| Tract 001806 | $433K | $518K | +19.6% | |
| Tract 002326 | $433K | $516K | +19.2% | |
| Tract 002041 | $435K | $517K | +18.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000441 | $434K | $558K | +28.6% | |
| Tract 000247 | $438K | $581K | +32.6% | |
| Tract 000522 | $423K | $559K | +31.9% | |
| Tract 001301 | $440K | $577K | +31.0% | |
| Tract 000784 | $462K | $600K | +30.1% | |
| Tract 002449 | $452K | $585K | +29.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000441 | $434K | $558K | $523K | |
| Tract 001408 | $446K | $542K | $462K | |
| Tract 000946 | $433K | $527K | $460K | |
| Tract 001602 | $439K | $524K | $454K | |
| Tract 002423 | $432K | $537K | $451K | |
| Tract 001806 | $433K | $518K | $445K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources