County 29505, MO · Census Tract 29505011151 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.15M
Downside (P10)
$507K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
-11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.59M
+39% by 2030
Base case: -11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +39%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29505 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | -7.0% | -9.0% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $753K | $623K | $552K | $507K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$895K to $1.49M
52.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$507K to $1.59M
106.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 009503 | $1.15M | $874K | -24.0% |
| Tract 004757 | $1.16M | $1.10M | -5.2% |
| Tract 003606 | $1.13M | $999K | -11.8% |
| Tract 003554 | $1.12M | $910K | -18.8% |
| Tract 008407 | $1.20M | $954K | -20.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004757 | $1.16M | $1.10M | -5.2% |
| Tract 005251 | $1.41M | $1.29M | -8.9% |
| Tract 003606 | $1.13M | $999K | -11.8% |
| Tract 009202 | $1.21M | $1.06M | -12.4% |
| Tract 004058 | $1.26M | $1.10M | -13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010259 | $1.26M | $1.02M | $1.01M |
| Tract 002652 | $1.03M | $825K | $1.03M |
| Tract 003606 | $1.13M | $999K | $1.03M |
| Tract 005358 | $1.31M | $1.10M | $1.10M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources