County 29517, MO · Census Tract 29517504203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.55M
Downside (P10)
$866K
-66% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.65M
-35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.34M
-8% by 2030
Base case: -35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -66% to -8%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29517 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.6M | $2.5M | $2.0M | $1.8M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | -3.1% | -18.1% | -13.0% | -6.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.6M | $1.2M | $920K | $866K | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.91M to $2.92M
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$866K to $2.34M
89.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 504106 | $2.60M | $1.77M | -32.0% |
| Tract 501808 | $2.45M | $1.78M | -27.5% |
| Tract 500906 | $2.67M | $1.97M | -26.1% |
| Tract 500304 | $2.35M | $1.75M | -25.8% |
| Tract 502506 | $2.76M | $1.77M | -36.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500304 | $2.35M | $1.75M | -25.8% |
| Tract 500906 | $2.67M | $1.97M | -26.1% |
| Tract 501808 | $2.45M | $1.78M | -27.5% |
| Tract 500702 | $2.99M | $2.10M | -29.6% |
| Tract 503408 | $2.88M | $2.02M | -30.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501905 | $2.28M | $1.44M | $1.17M |
| Tract 500906 | $2.67M | $1.97M | $1.34M |
| Tract 504106 | $2.60M | $1.77M | $1.36M |
| Tract 501808 | $2.45M | $1.78M | $1.38M |
| Tract 501604 | $2.88M | $1.98M | $1.39M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources