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County 29690, MO · Census Tract 29690000161 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$312K
Downside (P10)
$309K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$478K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$683K
+119% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +119%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $312K | $363K | $395K | $426K | $478K |
| YoY Change | +16.1% | +8.8% | +7.8% | +12.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $285K | $278K | $288K | $309K | |
| Upside (P90) | $474K | $543K | $599K | $683K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$285K to $474K
52.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$309K to $683K
78.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000161 | $312K | $478K | +53.0% | |
| Tract 005027 | $320K | $468K | +46.4% | |
| Tract 000022 | $322K | $460K | +43.1% | |
| Tract 004345 | $300K | $428K | +42.7% | |
| Tract 004183 | $300K | $399K | +33.3% | |
| Tract 004484 | $311K | $415K | +33.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000161 | $312K | $478K | +53.0% | |
| Tract 005027 | $320K | $468K | +46.4% | |
| Tract 003087 | $244K | $357K | +46.3% | |
| Tract 003045 | $246K | $360K | +46.3% | |
| Tract 000145 | $276K | $401K | +45.1% | |
| Tract 003061 | $245K | $353K | +44.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000161 | $312K | $478K | $374K | |
| Tract 004060 | $245K | $348K | $282K | |
| Tract 004248 | $254K | $356K | $281K | |
| Tract 004206 | $251K | $361K | $278K | |
| Tract 004442 | $247K | $341K | $267K | |
| Tract 004303 | $249K | $352K | $250K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources