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County 29713, MO · Census Tract 29713100045 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$310K
Downside (P10)
$243K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$408K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$724K
+133% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +133%. The model forecasts this with 35% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $310K | $364K | $382K | $392K | $408K |
| YoY Change | +17.4% | +4.9% | +2.5% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $266K | $231K | $243K | |
| Upside (P90) | $527K | $577K | $643K | $724K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$283K to $527K
67.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$243K to $724K
118.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100045 | $310K | $408K | +31.5% | |
| Tract 100566 | $314K | $494K | +57.5% | |
| Tract 100223 | $312K | $464K | +48.8% | |
| Tract 100582 | $309K | $435K | +40.8% | |
| Tract 100100 | $311K | $433K | +39.3% | |
| Tract 090168 | $312K | $424K | +35.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100045 | $310K | $408K | +31.5% | |
| Tract 100566 | $314K | $494K | +57.5% | |
| Tract 090663 | $284K | $434K | +52.8% | |
| Tract 001966 | $275K | $413K | +50.3% | |
| Tract 100223 | $312K | $464K | +48.8% | |
| Tract 090760 | $301K | $448K | +48.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 100045 | $310K | $408K | $482K | |
| Tract 090663 | $284K | $434K | $301K | |
| Tract 090980 | $279K | $406K | $300K | |
| Tract 001982 | $276K | $373K | $299K | |
| Tract 090647 | $288K | $411K | $290K | |
| Tract 091044 | $289K | $417K | $254K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources