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County 29755, MO · Census Tract 29755004581 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$326K
Downside (P10)
$301K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$448K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$684K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +110%. The model forecasts this with 53% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $326K | $354K | $378K | $406K | $448K |
| YoY Change | +8.5% | +6.7% | +7.6% | +10.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $287K | $279K | $287K | $301K | |
| Upside (P90) | $460K | $505K | $580K | $684K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$287K to $460K
48.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$301K to $684K
85.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004581 | $326K | $448K | +37.4% | |
| Tract 003045 | $323K | $491K | +52.0% | |
| Tract 000242 | $325K | $437K | +34.5% | |
| Tract 003605 | $322K | $426K | +32.5% | |
| Tract 001209 | $326K | $430K | +32.0% | |
| Tract 000909 | $328K | $419K | +27.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004581 | $326K | $448K | +37.4% | |
| Tract 002703 | $282K | $429K | +52.3% | |
| Tract 003045 | $323K | $491K | +52.0% | |
| Tract 004620 | $298K | $448K | +50.3% | |
| Tract 003948 | $296K | $444K | +50.1% | |
| Tract 003061 | $320K | $478K | +49.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004581 | $326K | $448K | $383K | |
| Tract 002949 | $276K | $406K | $285K | |
| Tract 001720 | $280K | $394K | $281K | |
| Tract 003087 | $279K | $396K | $276K | |
| Tract 001005 | $294K | $398K | $258K | |
| Tract 001526 | $271K | $380K | $255K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources