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County 29755, MO · Census Tract 29755004646 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$341K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$457K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$735K
+116% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +116%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $341K | $389K | $403K | $419K | $457K |
| YoY Change | +14.1% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $292K | $298K | $314K | |
| Upside (P90) | $511K | $555K | $625K | $735K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $511K
52.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $735K
92.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004646 | $341K | $457K | +33.9% | |
| Tract 004507 | $344K | $510K | +48.4% | |
| Tract 002402 | $342K | $471K | +37.6% | |
| Tract 000323 | $333K | $446K | +34.1% | |
| Tract 002101 | $336K | $442K | +31.4% | |
| Tract 004248 | $332K | $435K | +30.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004646 | $341K | $457K | +33.9% | |
| Tract 002703 | $282K | $429K | +52.3% | |
| Tract 003045 | $323K | $491K | +52.0% | |
| Tract 004620 | $298K | $448K | +50.3% | |
| Tract 003948 | $296K | $444K | +50.1% | |
| Tract 003061 | $320K | $478K | +49.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004646 | $341K | $457K | $422K | |
| Tract 002949 | $276K | $406K | $285K | |
| Tract 001720 | $280K | $394K | $281K | |
| Tract 003087 | $279K | $396K | $276K | |
| Tract 001005 | $294K | $398K | $258K | |
| Tract 001526 | $271K | $380K | $255K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources