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County 29795, MO · Census Tract 29795002145 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$530K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$571K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$836K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 46% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $530K | $552K | $532K | $545K | $571K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | -3.7% | +2.5% | +4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $323K | $297K | $278K | |
| Upside (P90) | $725K | $774K | $796K | $836K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$349K to $725K
68.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $836K
97.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002145 | $530K | $571K | +7.8% | |
| Tract 001926 | $528K | $594K | +12.5% | |
| Tract 002705 | $524K | $576K | +9.7% | |
| Tract 002349 | $524K | $563K | +7.3% | |
| Tract 000040 | $526K | $538K | +2.4% | |
| Tract 001942 | $525K | $533K | +1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002145 | $530K | $571K | +7.8% | |
| Tract 002446 | $456K | $561K | +23.0% | |
| Tract 002187 | $474K | $574K | +21.1% | |
| Tract 002284 | $476K | $553K | +16.3% | |
| Tract 002462 | $454K | $517K | +13.9% | |
| Tract 001926 | $528K | $594K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002145 | $530K | $571K | $558K | |
| Tract 001926 | $528K | $594K | $579K | |
| Tract 001764 | $515K | $522K | $577K | |
| Tract 002747 | $541K | $588K | $560K | |
| Tract 001625 | $475K | $509K | $557K | |
| Tract 002705 | $524K | $576K | $542K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources