County 29816, MO · Census Tract 29816998468 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$477K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$550K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.07M
+123% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +123%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29816 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $526K | $533K | $535K | $550K |
| YoY Change | +10.1% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $376K | $342K | $300K | $290K | |
| Upside (P90) | $729K | $761K | $883K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$385K to $587K
42.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$290K to $1.07M
140.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 998387 | $468K | $528K | +12.8% |
| Tract 999124 | $487K | $643K | +31.9% |
| Tract 998963 | $461K | $604K | +30.9% |
| Tract 998329 | $461K | $590K | +28.0% |
| Tract 998248 | $461K | $607K | +31.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 999302 | $393K | $562K | +42.8% |
| Tract 999386 | $412K | $586K | +42.1% |
| Tract 998303 | $456K | $646K | +41.7% |
| Tract 998125 | $409K | $564K | +38.0% |
| Tract 999425 | $456K | $627K | +37.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 999386 | $412K | $586K | $353K |
| Tract 999247 | $413K | $541K | $381K |
| Tract 999302 | $393K | $562K | $389K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources