County 29820, MO · Census Tract 29820102402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$954K
Downside (P10)
$583K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.08M
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.23M
+133% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +133%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29820 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $954K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +16.0% | -4.4% | -3.5% | +5.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $788K | $625K | $563K | $583K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$811K to $1.42M
64.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$583K to $2.23M
152.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 105629 | $947K | $1.36M | +43.9% |
| Tract 000423 | $933K | $740K | -20.7% |
| Tract 000986 | $982K | $791K | -19.5% |
| Tract 101461 | $983K | $1.00M | +2.0% |
| Tract 108985 | $992K | $1.32M | +32.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 108927 | $769K | $1.16M | +51.5% |
| Tract 108503 | $812K | $1.22M | +50.4% |
| Tract 108480 | $796K | $1.18M | +48.1% |
| Tract 108464 | $777K | $1.12M | +44.7% |
| Tract 108684 | $699K | $1.01M | +44.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources