County 29875, MO · Census Tract 29875004225 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$397K
Downside (P10)
$313K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$508K
+28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$815K
+106% by 2030
Base case: +28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +106%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29875 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $436K | $459K | $485K | $508K |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +5.3% | +5.7% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $312K | $313K | $313K | |
| Upside (P90) | $626K | $684K | $722K | $815K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$333K to $500K
42.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$313K to $815K
98.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000326 | $401K | $481K | +19.8% |
| Tract 001286 | $402K | $509K | +26.6% |
| Tract 000300 | $405K | $485K | +19.7% |
| Tract 004128 | $408K | $485K | +18.9% |
| Tract 001309 | $408K | $459K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002227 | $408K | $524K | +28.3% |
| Tract 001286 | $402K | $509K | +26.6% |
| Tract 003187 | $408K | $515K | +26.1% |
| Tract 000106 | $419K | $524K | +24.9% |
| Tract 004322 | $418K | $521K | +24.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001309 | $408K | $459K | $433K |
| Tract 001286 | $402K | $509K | $460K |
| Tract 000300 | $405K | $485K | $460K |
| Tract 002162 | $414K | $495K | $475K |
| Tract 000106 | $419K | $524K | $475K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources