What is the home price forecast for Tract 010125?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 010125 median home values at $703,107 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 21.6%.

How confident is the Tract 010125 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $683,838 (downside) to $1,145,624 (upside), with a spread of 54% of median.

Tract 010125 Home Price Forecast

County 29817, MO · Census Tract 29817010125 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$703K

Downside (P10)

$684K

-3% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$855K

+22% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.15M

+63% by 2030

Base case: +22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +63%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 29817 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$703K	$748K	$769K	$808K	$855K
YoY Change		+6.4%	+2.8%	+5.1%	+5.8%
Downside (P10)		$642K	$623K	$632K	$684K
Upside (P90)		$897K	$943K	$1.0M	$1.1M

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$634K to $812K

25.4% of median

5-Year Spread

$684K to $1.15M

54.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +21.6% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 009000	$703K	$934K	+32.9%
Tract 018004	$703K	$978K	+39.2%
Tract 007303	$704K	$1.08M	+53.3%
Tract 005541	$704K	$797K	+13.2%
Tract 004827	$700K	$756K	+8.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 012521	$490K	$882K	+80.2%
Tract 010442	$608K	$1.03M	+70.1%
Tract 032323	$100K	$163K	+63.6%
Tract 012343	$558K	$908K	+62.7%
Tract 012602	$568K	$923K	+62.3%

Location

Tract 010125 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).