County 29610, MO · Census Tract 29610000361 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$572K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$680K
+19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+120% by 2030
Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +120%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29610 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $572K | $626K | $624K | $612K | $680K |
| YoY Change | +9.3% | -0.3% | -1.9% | +11.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $425K | $403K | $379K | $393K | |
| Upside (P90) | $816K | $992K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$484K to $759K
48.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$393K to $1.26M
127.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000280 | $573K | $681K | +19.0% |
| Tract 000769 | $573K | $681K | +18.8% |
| Tract 001548 | $574K | $670K | +16.8% |
| Tract 001247 | $574K | $631K | +9.9% |
| Tract 000688 | $570K | $635K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001441 | $614K | $757K | +23.3% |
| Tract 000442 | $563K | $691K | +22.7% |
| Tract 000565 | $639K | $781K | +22.2% |
| Tract 001823 | $632K | $761K | +20.4% |
| Tract 000028 | $568K | $680K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000688 | $570K | $635K | $652K |
| Tract 000141 | $616K | $626K | $652K |
| Tract 001247 | $574K | $631K | $692K |
| Tract 001784 | $578K | $659K | $693K |
| Tract 001548 | $574K | $670K | $703K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources