County 29610, MO · Census Tract 29610000688 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$570K
Downside (P10)
$336K
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$635K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$988K
+73% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +73%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29610 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $570K | $600K | $591K | $590K | $635K |
| YoY Change | +5.2% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +7.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $412K | $376K | $331K | $336K | |
| Upside (P90) | $794K | $896K | $900K | $988K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$458K to $692K
41.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$336K to $988K
102.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000028 | $568K | $680K | +19.8% |
| Tract 000361 | $572K | $680K | +18.8% |
| Tract 000280 | $573K | $681K | +19.0% |
| Tract 000769 | $573K | $681K | +18.8% |
| Tract 001548 | $574K | $670K | +16.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001441 | $614K | $757K | +23.3% |
| Tract 000442 | $563K | $691K | +22.7% |
| Tract 000565 | $639K | $781K | +22.2% |
| Tract 001823 | $632K | $761K | +20.4% |
| Tract 000028 | $568K | $680K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000141 | $616K | $626K | $652K |
| Tract 001247 | $574K | $631K | $692K |
| Tract 001784 | $578K | $659K | $693K |
| Tract 001548 | $574K | $670K | $703K |
| Tract 000442 | $563K | $691K | $706K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources