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Dallas, MO · ZIP 65622 · Census Tract 29059480200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$166K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$186K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$230K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $170K | $178K | $186K |
| YoY Change | +2.4% | +4.6% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $147K | $140K | |
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $219K | $230K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$147K to $205K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$140K to $230K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Benton | $167K | $186K | +11.5% | |
| Independence | $166K | $181K | +9.2% | |
| Pierce | $165K | $178K | +7.5% | |
| Lebanon | $166K | $178K | +7.3% | |
| Willow Springs | $166K | $175K | +5.3% | |
| Sedalia | $165K | $174K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Benton | $167K | $186K | +11.5% | |
| Monett | $156K | $189K | +21.2% | |
| Nine Mile Prairie area | $162K | $195K | +20.2% | |
| Black River area | $209K | $250K | +19.9% | |
| Bruner area | $293K | $351K | +19.6% | |
| Boles | $239K | $286K | +19.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Benton | $167K | $186K | $91K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 002000) | $60K | $63K | $31K | |
| Concord area | $59K | $63K | $31K | |
| Independence | $58K | $63K | $30K | |
| Kansas City (Tract 016500) | $65K | $68K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.