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Ray, MO · ZIP 64085 · Census Tract 29177080100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$190K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $124K | $131K | $116K | $122K | $118K | $125K | $134K | $165K | $167K | $176K | $177K | $187K | $190K |
| YoY Change | +2.7% | +6.0% | -11.5% | +5.3% | -3.0% | +5.8% | +6.9% | +23.2% | +1.3% | +5.4% | +0.7% | +5.6% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $159K | $154K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $235K | $255K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $205K
25.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$154K to $255K
53.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grape Grove area | $172K | $190K | +10.4% | |
| Richmond (Tract 080201) | $182K | $210K | +15.4% | |
| Orrick area | $206K | $216K | +5.2% | |
| Richmond (Tract 080202) | $146K | $166K | +13.9% | |
| Polk | $240K | $255K | +6.3% | |
| Richmond area | $285K | $310K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grape Grove area | $172K | $190K | +10.4% | |
| Richmond (Tract 080201) | $182K | $210K | +15.4% | |
| Richmond (Tract 080202) | $146K | $166K | +13.9% | |
| Richmond area | $285K | $310K | +8.7% | |
| Polk | $240K | $255K | +6.3% | |
| Orrick area | $206K | $216K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grape Grove area | $172K | $190K | $102K | |
| Orrick area | $206K | $216K | $96K | |
| Richmond (Tract 080202) | $146K | $166K | $105K | |
| Richmond (Tract 080201) | $182K | $210K | $139K | |
| Polk | $240K | $255K | $146K | |
| Richmond area | $285K | $310K | $169K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.