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St Louis, MO · ZIP 63116 · Census Tract 29510116100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$290K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $105K | $109K | $115K | $115K | $126K | $128K | $146K | $165K | $191K | $201K | $210K | $211K | $219K | $199K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | +3.1% | +6.2% | -0.7% | +9.6% | +2.2% | +14.0% | +13.0% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +4.6% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -9.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $176K | $169K | $167K | $176K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $240K | $265K | $290K | $223K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$176K to $240K
30.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$176K to $223K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1161) | $195K | $219K | +11.9% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 103400) | $189K | $206K | +8.8% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 126800) | $207K | $224K | +8.3% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 104200) | $213K | $229K | +7.6% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 112200) | $188K | $195K | +3.7% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 103700) | $199K | $199K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1161) | $195K | $219K | +11.9% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 117400) | $351K | $419K | +19.3% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 109700) | $59K | $69K | +17.5% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 118100) | $410K | $481K | +17.4% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 123300) | $340K | $394K | +16.1% | |
| St. Louis (Tract 124200) | $225K | $261K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis · Saint Louis · (Tract 1161) | $195K | $219K | $123K | |
| St. Louis | $59K | $69K | $27K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.