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Taney, MO · ZIP 65616 · Census Tract 29213480107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$237K
Downside (P10)
$175K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$252K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$327K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $139K | $164K | $198K | $231K | $237K | $241K | $250K | $252K |
| YoY Change | -4.1% | +17.9% | +21.1% | +16.6% | +2.5% | +1.8% | +3.5% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $187K | $192K | $175K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $271K | $294K | $327K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$187K to $271K
34.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$175K to $327K
60.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branson | $234K | $252K | +7.7% | |
| Branson (Tract 480106) | $245K | $278K | +13.3% | |
| Branson (Tract 480207) | $235K | $265K | +12.7% | |
| Branson (Tract 480108) | $235K | $260K | +10.5% | |
| Branson (Tract 480109) | $237K | $252K | +6.6% | |
| Branson (Tract 480205) | $231K | $242K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branson | $234K | $252K | +7.7% | |
| Branson (Tract 480106) | $245K | $278K | +13.3% | |
| Beaver area | $195K | $221K | +13.2% | |
| Swan | $192K | $217K | +13.2% | |
| Branson (Tract 480207) | $235K | $265K | +12.7% | |
| Branson (Tract 480208) | $311K | $349K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branson | $234K | $252K | $152K | |
| Swan | $193K | $194K | $120K | |
| Oliver | $169K | $188K | $116K | |
| Beaver area | $195K | $221K | $101K | |
| Scott area | $163K | $170K | $100K | |
| Jasper | $122K | $128K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.