Warren, MO · ZIP 63390 · Census Tract 29219820105 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$209K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$305K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +46%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Warren markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $163K | $182K | $196K | $200K | $209K | $208K | $226K | $227K |
| YoY Change | +2.3% | +12.1% | +7.2% | +2.2% | +4.5% | -0.4% | +8.6% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $169K | $175K | $167K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $252K | $279K | $305K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$169K to $252K
39.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$167K to $305K
61.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Elkhorn | $202K | $227K | +12.1% | |
| South Elkhorn | $199K | $222K | +12.0% | |
| South Elkhorn | $248K | $273K | +10.0% | |
| Charrette | $251K | $271K | +7.6% | |
| Hickory Grove | $256K | $269K | +5.2% | |
| Hickory Grove | $268K | $284K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Elkhorn | $202K | $227K | +12.1% | |
| Camp Branch area | $301K | $348K | +15.6% | |
| South Elkhorn | $199K | $222K | +12.0% | |
| South Elkhorn | $248K | $273K | +10.0% | |
| Pinckney area | $368K | $401K | +9.1% | |
| Charrette | $251K | $271K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Elkhorn | $202K | $227K | $139K | |
| South Elkhorn | $199K | $222K | $107K | |
| Hickory Grove | $256K | $269K | $135K | |
| Hickory Grove | $268K | $284K | $170K | |
| South Elkhorn | $248K | $273K | $177K | |
| Charrette | $251K | $271K | $177K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.