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County 28279, MS · Census Tract 28279250142 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$296K
Downside (P10)
$293K
-1% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$430K
+45% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$612K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +45% by 2030, with a forecast range from -1% to +107%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $296K | $338K | $347K | $373K | $430K |
| YoY Change | +14.2% | +2.6% | +7.4% | +15.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $268K | $267K | $264K | $293K | |
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $493K | $531K | $612K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$268K to $439K
50.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$293K to $612K
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250142 | $296K | $430K | +45.2% | |
| Tract 272447 | $298K | $433K | +45.4% | |
| Tract 250388 | $296K | $430K | +45.3% | |
| Tract 250045 | $297K | $415K | +39.6% | |
| Tract 252344 | $294K | $392K | +33.2% | |
| Tract 252441 | $297K | $390K | +31.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250142 | $296K | $430K | +45.2% | |
| Tract 290047 | $293K | $525K | +78.9% | |
| Tract 290063 | $288K | $503K | +74.3% | |
| Tract 290144 | $300K | $479K | +59.5% | |
| Tract 272447 | $298K | $433K | +45.4% | |
| Tract 250388 | $296K | $430K | +45.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250142 | $296K | $430K | $319K | |
| Tract 273501 | $302K | $418K | $297K | |
| Tract 273543 | $286K | $383K | $287K | |
| Tract 272544 | $301K | $395K | $283K | |
| Tract 273585 | $285K | $410K | $283K | |
| Tract 273129 | $285K | $373K | $272K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources