County 28279, MS · Census Tract 28279273161 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$277K
Downside (P10)
$255K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$384K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$578K
+109% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +109%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28279 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $277K | $317K | $335K | $345K | $384K |
| YoY Change | +14.5% | +5.5% | +3.1% | +11.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $252K | $252K | $242K | $255K | |
| Upside (P90) | $411K | $465K | $512K | $578K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$247K to $328K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$255K to $578K
84.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 273268 | $276K | $394K | +42.5% |
| Tract 273307 | $280K | $404K | +44.4% |
| Tract 252108 | $281K | $395K | +40.5% |
| Tract 251345 | $283K | $368K | +30.3% |
| Tract 262143 | $284K | $391K | +37.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 290047 | $293K | $525K | +78.9% |
| Tract 290063 | $288K | $503K | +74.3% |
| Tract 290144 | $300K | $479K | +59.5% |
| Tract 272447 | $298K | $433K | +45.4% |
| Tract 250388 | $296K | $430K | +45.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 273129 | $285K | $373K | $272K |
| Tract 273585 | $285K | $410K | $283K |
| Tract 272544 | $301K | $395K | $283K |
| Tract 273543 | $286K | $383K | $287K |
| Tract 273501 | $302K | $418K | $297K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources