County 28417, MS · Census Tract 28417500489 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$309K
Downside (P10)
$302K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$456K
+47% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$650K
+110% by 2030
Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +110%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28417 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $309K | $357K | $389K | $408K | $456K |
| YoY Change | +15.5% | +8.9% | +4.9% | +11.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $282K | $281K | $302K | |
| Upside (P90) | $452K | $537K | $591K | $650K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$265K to $376K
35.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$302K to $650K
76.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500405 | $311K | $443K | +42.3% |
| Tract 500227 | $314K | $412K | +31.3% |
| Tract 500382 | $293K | $455K | +55.2% |
| Tract 500560 | $328K | $458K | +39.7% |
| Tract 500269 | $330K | $457K | +38.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500382 | $293K | $455K | +55.2% |
| Tract 500405 | $311K | $443K | +42.3% |
| Tract 500560 | $328K | $458K | +39.7% |
| Tract 500269 | $330K | $457K | +38.5% |
| Tract 500227 | $314K | $412K | +31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500382 | $293K | $455K | $333K |
| Tract 500560 | $328K | $458K | $341K |
| Tract 500227 | $314K | $412K | $357K |
| Tract 500269 | $330K | $457K | $392K |
| Tract 500405 | $311K | $443K | $407K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources