County 28535, MS · Census Tract 28535840005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$569K
Downside (P10)
$307K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$645K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+98% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +98%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 28535 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $569K | $591K | $578K | $592K | $645K |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | -2.1% | +2.4% | +8.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $316K | $291K | $307K | |
| Upside (P90) | $859K | $905K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$455K to $781K
57.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$307K to $1.12M
126.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | +1.6% |
| Tract 680003 | $555K | $567K | +2.2% |
| Tract 160002 | $592K | $672K | +13.6% |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | +5.1% |
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | -1.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080001 | $521K | $610K | +17.0% |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | +14.9% |
| Tract 160002 | $592K | $672K | +13.6% |
| Tract 000007 | $617K | $674K | +9.2% |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | $586K |
| Tract 680003 | $555K | $567K | $767K |
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | $776K |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | $779K |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | $781K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources