County 28535, MS · Census Tract 28535880007 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$665K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$659K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+81% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +81%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 28535 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $665K | $701K | $648K | $629K | $659K |
| YoY Change | +5.5% | -7.5% | -3.0% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $462K | $373K | $325K | $342K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$518K to $861K
51.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$342K to $1.20M
130.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $617K | $674K | +9.2% |
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | -1.1% |
| Tract 160002 | $592K | $672K | +13.6% |
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | +1.6% |
| Tract 840005 | $569K | $645K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080001 | $521K | $610K | +17.0% |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | +14.9% |
| Tract 160002 | $592K | $672K | +13.6% |
| Tract 840005 | $569K | $645K | +13.3% |
| Tract 000007 | $617K | $674K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | $586K |
| Tract 680003 | $555K | $567K | $767K |
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | $776K |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | $779K |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | $781K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources