County 28431, MS · Census Tract 28431520005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$747K
Downside (P10)
$407K
-45% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$766K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.26M
+69% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -45% to +69%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28431 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $747K | $803K | $737K | $714K | $766K |
| YoY Change | +7.6% | -8.2% | -3.1% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $507K | $411K | $381K | $407K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$613K to $943K
44.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$407K to $1.26M
111.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640008 | $691K | $678K | -1.9% |
| Tract 360003 | $810K | $859K | +6.0% |
| Tract 400002 | $643K | $714K | +11.0% |
| Tract 320001 | $891K | $921K | +3.4% |
| Tract 800000 | $596K | $676K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120007 | $549K | $688K | +25.4% |
| Tract 760001 | $557K | $667K | +19.7% |
| Tract 800000 | $596K | $676K | +13.5% |
| Tract 400002 | $643K | $714K | +11.0% |
| Tract 360003 | $810K | $859K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760001 | $557K | $667K | $717K |
| Tract 800000 | $596K | $676K | $777K |
| Tract 120007 | $549K | $688K | $812K |
| Tract 600006 | $592K | $624K | $848K |
| Tract 040006 | $576K | $597K | $871K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources