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Madison, MS · ZIP 39157 · Census Tract 28089030205 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$820K
Downside (P10)
$635K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$858K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.23M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $411K | $491K | $514K | $506K | $531K | $584K | $580K | $697K | $774K | $800K | $820K | $825K | $812K | $858K |
| YoY Change | +19.4% | +4.9% | -1.6% | +4.9% | +10.1% | -0.7% | +20.1% | +11.1% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $682K | $655K | $635K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$682K to $1.00M
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$635K to $1.23M
68.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland · 39157 · (Tract 302.5) | $813K | $858K | +5.5% | |
| Ridgeland | $405K | $492K | +21.5% | |
| 4 | $540K | $631K | +16.9% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| 2 (Tract 030204) | $428K | $483K | +12.9% | |
| 2 (Tract 030301) | $461K | $511K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland · 39157 · (Tract 302.5) | $813K | $858K | +5.5% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030206) | $405K | $492K | +21.5% | |
| 4 (Tract 030403) | $540K | $631K | +16.9% | |
| 4 (Tract 030401) | $292K | $338K | +15.9% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030104) | $285K | $324K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland · 39157 · (Tract 302.5) | $813K | $858K | $591K | |
| 5 (Tract 030600) | $114K | $128K | $85K | |
| 5 area | $113K | $119K | $69K | |
| Canton | $128K | $140K | $67K | |
| 4 | $78K | $80K | $55K | |
| 5 (Tract 031000) | $98K | $105K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.