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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Pearl River, MS · ZIP 39426 · Census Tract 28109950406 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$178K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$212K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$414K
+102% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +102%. The model forecasts this with 39% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $185K | $154K | $178K | $163K | $192K | $205K | $203K | $207K | $212K |
| YoY Change | -16.7% | +15.7% | -8.5% | +17.9% | +6.9% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $178K | $178K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $290K | $337K | $414K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$178K to $290K
55.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$178K to $414K
111.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 · Carriere · (Tract 9504.6) | $198K | $212K | +7.4% | |
| 3 area | $196K | $221K | +12.8% | |
| 2 (Tract 950201) | $214K | $240K | +12.5% | |
| 4 | $193K | $209K | +7.9% | |
| 5 area | $214K | $221K | +3.5% | |
| 2 (Tract 950404) | $217K | $219K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 · Carriere · (Tract 9504.6) | $198K | $212K | +7.4% | |
| Picayune | $102K | $119K | +16.8% | |
| 1 area | $133K | $153K | +14.8% | |
| 3 (Tract 950101) | $181K | $206K | +13.6% | |
| 3 (Tract 950505) | $236K | $268K | +13.3% | |
| 3 area | $196K | $221K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 · Carriere · (Tract 9504.6) | $198K | $212K | $237K | |
| 4 (Tract 950503) | $193K | $209K | $95K | |
| Poplarville area | $164K | $168K | $87K | |
| 3 | $139K | $147K | $76K | |
| Picayune | $102K | $119K | $60K | |
| 4 (Tract 950701) | $108K | $109K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.