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Cascade, MT · ZIP 59401 · Census Tract 30013000200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$265K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$294K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$433K
+63% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $147K | $148K | $148K | $154K | $165K | $171K | $181K | $210K | $231K | $260K | $265K | $268K | $285K | $294K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +6.9% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +10.0% | +12.4% | +2.1% | +1.1% | +6.4% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $229K | $242K | $232K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $366K | $395K | $433K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$229K to $366K
51.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$232K to $433K
68.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Falls | $265K | $294K | +11.2% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001000) | $264K | $288K | +8.8% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001800) | $262K | $274K | +4.7% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001100) | $249K | $294K | +18.0% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001700) | $241K | $261K | +8.3% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 010800) | $238K | $240K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Falls | $265K | $294K | +11.2% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001100) | $249K | $294K | +18.0% | |
| Cascade | $401K | $472K | +17.8% | |
| Belt area | $303K | $343K | +13.0% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002100) | $359K | $401K | +11.8% | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002201) | $293K | $327K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Falls | $265K | $294K | $201K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000700) | $165K | $181K | $97K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 001600) | $178K | $183K | $100K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 002202) | $236K | $243K | $103K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000100) | $207K | $219K | $107K | |
| Great Falls (Tract 000900) | $231K | $241K | $115K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.