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Flathead, MT · ZIP 59920 · Census Tract 30029001702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$695K
Downside (P10)
$614K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$789K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.08M
+56% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $297K | $347K | $406K | $519K | $650K | $695K | $714K | $773K | $789K |
| YoY Change | +16.9% | +17.2% | +27.7% | +25.3% | +7.0% | +2.7% | +8.2% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $621K | $627K | $614K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $888K | $963K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$621K to $888K
37.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$614K to $1.08M
59.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | +15.9% | |
| Creston-Bigfork (Tract 001306) | $695K | $737K | +6.0% | |
| Kalispell | $684K | $705K | +3.0% | |
| Creston-Bigfork (Tract 001305) | $713K | $758K | +6.3% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000404) | $672K | $750K | +11.5% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000402) | $672K | $773K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | +15.9% | |
| Bigfork | $570K | $673K | +18.0% | |
| South Fork | $420K | $491K | +17.0% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000402) | $672K | $773K | +15.1% | |
| Kalispell | $441K | $504K | +14.4% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000403) | $621K | $707K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | $468K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 001000) | $287K | $316K | $180K | |
| Columbia Falls area | $400K | $422K | $190K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000903) | $416K | $453K | $211K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000901) | $394K | $445K | $217K | |
| Kalispell Southwest area | $503K | $565K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.