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Missoula, MT · ZIP 59846 · Census Tract 30063001602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$455K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$481K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$594K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $319K | $334K | $374K | $385K | $443K | $455K | $454K | $466K | $481K | $454K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | +12.2% | +2.8% | +15.1% | +2.7% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +3.0% | -5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $402K | $401K | $392K | $410K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $522K | $577K | $594K | $509K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$402K to $522K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$410K to $509K
21.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frenchtown-Wye | $444K | $481K | +8.3% | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley (Tract 001802) | $427K | $512K | +19.8% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000802) | $441K | $512K | +15.9% | |
| Missoula (Tract 001303) | $453K | $503K | +11.0% | |
| Missoula (Tract 001402) | $436K | $474K | +8.6% | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley (Tract 001801) | $462K | $484K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frenchtown-Wye | $444K | $481K | +8.3% | |
| Lolo | $655K | $793K | +21.0% | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley | $427K | $512K | +19.8% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000204) | $332K | $397K | +19.6% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000700) | $513K | $595K | +16.0% | |
| Missoula (Tract 000802) | $441K | $512K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frenchtown-Wye | $444K | $481K | $202K | |
| Missoula (Tract 001302) | $542K | $562K | $222K | |
| Missoula (Tract 000204) | $332K | $397K | $203K | |
| Seeley Lake-Blackfoot Valley | $427K | $512K | $202K | |
| Missoula (Tract 000801) | $389K | $414K | $202K | |
| Missoula (Tract 000203) | $345K | $399K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.