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Brunswick, NC · ZIP 28468 · Census Tract 37019020517 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$343K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$498K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $172K | $232K | $265K | $327K | $343K | $342K | $358K | $367K | $342K |
| YoY Change | +2.0% | +34.8% | +13.9% | +23.4% | +4.9% | -0.4% | +4.8% | +2.6% | -7.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $312K | $302K | $295K | $298K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $430K | $466K | $498K | $391K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$312K to $430K
34.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$298K to $391K
27.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shallotte · Sunset Beach · (Tract 205.17) | $334K | $367K | +10.2% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020514) | $359K | $384K | +6.7% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020510) | $348K | $369K | +6.0% | |
| Town Creek (Tract 020106) | $344K | $361K | +4.9% | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020511) | $360K | $376K | +4.5% | |
| Town Creek (Tract 020201) | $339K | $351K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shallotte · Sunset Beach · (Tract 205.17) | $334K | $367K | +10.2% | |
| Oak Island (Tract 020308) | $552K | $656K | +18.9% | |
| Lockwoods Folly | $188K | $223K | +18.4% | |
| Oak Island (Tract 020313) | $436K | $500K | +14.6% | |
| St. James | $569K | $651K | +14.4% | |
| Smithville | $1.41M | $1.58M | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shallotte · Sunset Beach · (Tract 205.17) | $334K | $367K | $202K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020404) | $196K | $210K | $120K | |
| Lockwoods Folly (Tract 020409) | $214K | $228K | $106K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020513) | $259K | $282K | $104K | |
| Northwest | $171K | $191K | $101K | |
| Shallotte (Tract 020505) | $171K | $187K | $99K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.