What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37021002303 in Avery Creek · Arden · (Tract 23.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $393,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37021002303 in Avery Creek · Arden · (Tract 23.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $393,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.3%.

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Parcel 37021002303 (Avery Creek) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37021002303, Avery Creek · Arden · (Tract 23.3) Home Price Forecast

Buncombe, NC · ZIP 28704 · Census Tract 37021002303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$393K

Downside (P10)

$352K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$414K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$546K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$262K	$293K	$324K	$359K	$397K	$393K	$407K	$407K	$414K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$131,518	-$100,418	-$68,818	-$33,918	+$4,082		+$13,707	+$13,837	+$20,773
Growth % vs 2026	-33.4%	-25.5%	-17.5%	-8.6%	+1.0%		+3.5%	+3.5%	+5.3%
Downside (P10)							$345K	$354K	$352K
Upside (P90)							$481K	$521K	$546K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$345K to $481K

33.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$352K to $546K

47.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.3% · Spread: 47%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 37021002303, Avery Creek · Arden · (Tract 23.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).