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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Charlotte, NC · ZIP 28204 · Census Tract 37119002500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$650K
Downside (P10)
$578K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$674K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$868K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $384K | $420K | $387K | $454K | $489K | $571K | $587K | $632K | $641K | $638K | $650K | $676K | $678K | $674K |
| YoY Change | +9.5% | -7.9% | +17.4% | +7.7% | +16.9% | +2.6% | +7.7% | +1.5% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +3.9% | +0.3% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $592K | $592K | $578K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $777K | $808K | $868K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$592K to $777K
27.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$578K to $868K
43.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte · 28204 · (Tract 25) | $640K | $674K | +5.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005850) | $647K | $747K | +15.5% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001200) | $643K | $730K | +13.5% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005848) | $660K | $723K | +9.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003013) | $644K | $679K | +5.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005855) | $654K | $684K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte · 28204 · (Tract 25) | $640K | $674K | +5.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003702) | $363K | $443K | +22.3% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003204) | $594K | $724K | +22.0% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001920) | $223K | $272K | +21.6% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 002005) | $838K | $1.00M | +19.9% | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003811) | $224K | $268K | +19.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte · 28204 · (Tract 25) | $640K | $674K | $290K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 001505) | $239K | $254K | $104K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004000) | $165K | $175K | $84K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 004302) | $159K | $180K | $83K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 003902) | $148K | $160K | $75K | |
| Charlotte (Tract 005306) | $101K | $113K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.