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Chatham, NC · ZIP 27312 · Census Tract 37037020802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$424K
Downside (P10)
$397K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$483K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$672K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $265K | $290K | $338K | $375K | $413K | $424K | $438K | $464K | $483K |
| YoY Change | +9.8% | +16.4% | +11.0% | +9.9% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +5.9% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $377K | $397K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $553K | $582K | $672K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$383K to $553K
38.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$397K to $672K
57.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $425K | $483K | +13.5% | |
| Cape Fear area | $442K | $463K | +4.9% | |
| Hickory Mountain | $405K | $426K | +5.3% | |
| Center | $380K | $385K | +1.2% | |
| Center area | $483K | $512K | +6.1% | |
| Baldwin | $503K | $559K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $425K | $483K | +13.5% | |
| Baldwin (Tract 020105) | $554K | $635K | +14.7% | |
| Hadley | $529K | $597K | +12.7% | |
| Baldwin (Tract 020107) | $503K | $559K | +11.1% | |
| Albright | $267K | $293K | +9.8% | |
| Matthews | $213K | $232K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Center area | $425K | $483K | $275K | |
| Matthews (Tract 020402) | $165K | $171K | $90K | |
| Bear Creek | $172K | $181K | $91K | |
| Matthews (Tract 020401) | $160K | $171K | $100K | |
| Matthews (Tract 020300) | $213K | $232K | $105K | |
| Gulf area | $232K | $247K | $123K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.