What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37039930606 in Shoal Creek · Murphy · (Tract 9306.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $256,992 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 37039930606 in Shoal Creek · Murphy · (Tract 9306.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $256,992 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

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Parcel 37039930606 (Shoal Creek) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 37039930606, Shoal Creek · Murphy · (Tract 9306.6) Home Price Forecast

Cherokee, NC · ZIP 28906 · Census Tract 37039930606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$257K

Downside (P10)

$202K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$287K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$375K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$191K	$193K	$208K	$226K	$246K	$257K	$267K	$283K	$287K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$66,392	-$64,092	-$48,792	-$30,692	-$11,492		+$9,627	+$26,344	+$30,148
Growth % vs 2026	-25.8%	-24.9%	-19.0%	-11.9%	-4.5%		+3.7%	+10.3%	+11.7%
Downside (P10)							$211K	$211K	$202K
Upside (P90)							$306K	$342K	$375K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$211K to $306K

35.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$202K to $375K

60.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.7% · Spread: 60%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 37039930606, Shoal Creek · Murphy · (Tract 9306.6) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).