County 37166, NC · Census Tract 37166880001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$502K
Downside (P10)
$258K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$525K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$985K
+96% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +96%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37166 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $502K | $525K | $508K | $509K | $525K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -3.1% | +0.2% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $289K | $265K | $258K | |
| Upside (P90) | $768K | $812K | $884K | $985K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$398K to $703K
60.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$258K to $985K
138.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $501K | $563K | +12.5% |
| Tract 560004 | $432K | $509K | +17.7% |
| Tract 080005 | $428K | $515K | +20.2% |
| Tract 000001 | $406K | $541K | +33.4% |
| Tract 060009 | $655K | $784K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720006 | $289K | $422K | +46.1% |
| Tract 800007 | $183K | $261K | +42.6% |
| Tract 000001 | $406K | $541K | +33.4% |
| Tract 080005 | $428K | $515K | +20.2% |
| Tract 060009 | $655K | $784K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800007 | $183K | $261K | $208K |
| Tract 720006 | $289K | $422K | $293K |
| Tract 000001 | $406K | $541K | $436K |
| Tract 060009 | $655K | $784K | $507K |
| Tract 560004 | $432K | $509K | $539K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources