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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 37012, NC · Census Tract 37012250002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$282K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$539K
+22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.01M
+128% by 2030
Base case: +22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +128%. The model forecasts this with 26% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $442K | $484K | $490K | $512K | $539K |
| YoY Change | +9.6% | +1.2% | +4.6% | +5.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $312K | $293K | $267K | $282K | |
| Upside (P90) | $695K | $758K | $875K | $1.0M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$312K to $695K
79.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$282K to $1.01M
134.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250002 | $442K | $539K | +22.0% | |
| Tract 720008 | $621K | $851K | +37.0% | |
| Tract 880003 | $228K | $308K | +35.2% | |
| Tract 520004 | $643K | $855K | +33.1% | |
| Tract 180004 | $604K | $629K | +4.2% | |
| Tract 041004 | $686K | $659K | -3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250002 | $442K | $539K | +22.0% | |
| Tract 840001 | $907K | $1.30M | +43.8% | |
| Tract 720008 | $621K | $851K | +37.0% | |
| Tract 880003 | $228K | $308K | +35.2% | |
| Tract 520004 | $643K | $855K | +33.1% | |
| Tract 280001 | $939K | $1.25M | +32.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 250002 | $442K | $539K | $724K | |
| Tract 280001 | $939K | $1.25M | $631K | |
| Tract 520004 | $643K | $855K | $631K | |
| Tract 720008 | $621K | $851K | $543K | |
| Tract 000003 | $849K | $983K | $419K | |
| Tract 880003 | $228K | $308K | $220K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources