County 37692, NC · Census Tract 37692000009 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.02M
Downside (P10)
$832K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.07M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 37692 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +10.4% | -5.9% | -3.5% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $992K | $877K | $807K | $832K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$941K to $1.19M
24.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$832K to $1.39M
51.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120002 | $1.03M | $896K | -13.2% |
| Tract 200003 | $950K | $1.07M | +12.5% |
| Tract 800005 | $831K | $1.06M | +27.2% |
| Tract 040001 | $753K | $929K | +23.3% |
| Tract 760006 | $729K | $769K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360008 | $327K | $453K | +38.5% |
| Tract 560002 | $188K | $256K | +36.3% |
| Tract 960000 | $485K | $652K | +34.5% |
| Tract 680005 | $183K | $244K | +33.5% |
| Tract 800005 | $831K | $1.06M | +27.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680005 | $183K | $244K | $182K |
| Tract 560002 | $188K | $256K | $254K |
| Tract 360008 | $327K | $453K | $474K |
| Tract 080003 | $529K | $656K | $620K |
| Tract 200003 | $950K | $1.07M | $659K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources