County 37870, NC · Census Tract 37870040108 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$723K
Downside (P10)
$742K
+3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$955K
+32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+80% by 2030
Base case: +32% by 2030, with a forecast range from +3% to +80%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 37870 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $723K | $823K | $863K | $906K | $955K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +4.9% | +4.9% | +5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $704K | $706K | $723K | $742K | |
| Upside (P90) | $992K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$653K to $855K
28.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$742K to $1.30M
58.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480108 | $743K | $845K | +13.7% |
| Tract 040001 | $592K | $849K | +43.3% |
| Tract 760006 | $574K | $784K | +36.5% |
| Tract 720004 | $511K | $688K | +34.6% |
| Tract 000009 | $965K | $1.33M | +37.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040001 | $592K | $849K | +43.3% |
| Tract 560002 | $475K | $657K | +38.4% |
| Tract 000009 | $965K | $1.33M | +37.5% |
| Tract 760006 | $574K | $784K | +36.5% |
| Tract 720004 | $511K | $688K | +34.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200003 | $443K | $585K | $351K |
| Tract 760006 | $574K | $784K | $403K |
| Tract 040001 | $592K | $849K | $485K |
| Tract 720004 | $511K | $688K | $493K |
| Tract 560002 | $475K | $657K | $532K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources