Granville, NC · ZIP 27509 · Census Tract 37077970702 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$199K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$272K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +37%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Granville markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $117K | $119K | $116K | $116K | $120K | $111K | $126K | $144K | $148K | $194K | $199K | $203K | $207K | $218K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | -2.4% | -0.3% | +3.7% | -7.2% | +12.8% | +14.7% | +2.9% | +30.7% | +2.8% | +1.9% | +2.0% | +5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $158K | $167K | $155K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $242K | $254K | $272K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$158K to $242K
41.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$155K to $272K
53.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butner | $197K | $218K | +11.1% | |
| Tally Ho | $199K | $200K | +0.4% | |
| Salem area | $204K | $225K | +10.4% | |
| Walnut Grove area | $209K | $228K | +9.2% | |
| Dutchville | $212K | $230K | +8.5% | |
| Fishing Creek | $213K | $237K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butner | $197K | $218K | +11.1% | |
| Sassafras Fork area | $178K | $201K | +12.9% | |
| Fishing Creek | $213K | $237K | +11.3% | |
| Brassfield | $502K | $555K | +10.6% | |
| Salem area | $204K | $225K | +10.4% | |
| Walnut Grove area | $209K | $228K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butner | $197K | $218K | $117K | |
| Fishing Creek | $171K | $178K | $74K | |
| Sassafras Fork area | $178K | $201K | $93K | |
| Tally Ho | $199K | $200K | $97K | |
| Salem area | $204K | $225K | $103K | |
| Dutchville | $212K | $230K | $109K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.