Harnett, NC · ZIP 28390 · Census Tract 37085071203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$283K
Downside (P10)
$245K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$307K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$393K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +39%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Harnett markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $205K | $203K | $195K | $197K | $194K | $213K | $245K | $257K | $274K | $283K | $287K | $299K | $307K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | -0.8% | -3.8% | +1.1% | -1.7% | +9.5% | +15.0% | +5.2% | +6.5% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +4.2% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $232K | $246K | $245K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $333K | $386K | $393K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$232K to $333K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$245K to $393K
48.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Creek · Spring Lake · (Tract 712.3) | $280K | $307K | +9.6% | |
| Black River | $280K | $293K | +4.5% | |
| Barbecue | $276K | $307K | +11.3% | |
| Buckhorn | $290K | $322K | +11.2% | |
| Black River | $256K | $274K | +6.9% | |
| Black River | $255K | $272K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Creek · Spring Lake · (Tract 712.3) | $280K | $307K | +9.6% | |
| Averasboro | $179K | $208K | +15.9% | |
| Hectors Creek | $316K | $360K | +14.0% | |
| Upper Little River | $174K | $198K | +13.4% | |
| Anderson Creek | $218K | $245K | +12.7% | |
| Johnsonville | $232K | $259K | +11.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson Creek · Spring Lake · (Tract 712.3) | $280K | $307K | $148K | |
| Upper Little River | $174K | $198K | $91K | |
| Duke | $168K | $177K | $96K | |
| Stewarts Creek | $194K | $211K | $104K | |
| Averasboro | $196K | $207K | $123K | |
| Anderson Creek | $218K | $245K | $124K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.