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Henderson, NC · ZIP 28732 · Census Tract 37089930502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$394K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$521K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $208K | $219K | $215K | $224K | $239K | $253K | $300K | $333K | $370K | $380K | $390K | $391K | $394K |
| YoY Change | +6.5% | +5.5% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +7.1% | +5.7% | +18.7% | +10.9% | +11.1% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +0.3% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $330K | $324K | $327K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $446K | $467K | $521K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$330K to $446K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $521K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoopers Creek · Fletcher · (Tract 9305.2) | $374K | $394K | +5.3% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931600) | $395K | $436K | +10.3% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 930800) | $391K | $431K | +10.1% | |
| Hoopers Creek | $365K | $389K | +6.4% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931801) | $398K | $419K | +5.3% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931802) | $390K | $409K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoopers Creek · Fletcher · (Tract 9305.2) | $374K | $394K | +5.3% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931402) | $290K | $333K | +14.9% | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | +14.5% | |
| Green River | $454K | $518K | +14.1% | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | +12.7% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 931500) | $571K | $635K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoopers Creek · Fletcher · (Tract 9305.2) | $374K | $394K | $193K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930402) | $247K | $260K | $151K | |
| Hendersonville area | $238K | $272K | $144K | |
| Clear Creek (Tract 930401) | $252K | $259K | $140K | |
| Blue Ridge | $243K | $274K | $132K | |
| Edneyville | $255K | $268K | $127K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.