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Moore, NC · ZIP 28394 · Census Tract 37125950504 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$370K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$478K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $242K | $253K | $310K | $339K | $351K | $349K | $359K | $370K |
| YoY Change | +9.4% | +4.3% | +22.5% | +9.5% | +3.6% | -0.5% | +2.8% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $308K | $303K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $437K | $478K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$309K to $424K
33.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$303K to $478K
47.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Little River · Vass · (Tract 9505.4) | $343K | $370K | +7.7% | |
| 8, Sandhills (Tract 951102) | $332K | $373K | +12.1% | |
| 8, Sandhills (Tract 951002) | $334K | $357K | +7.0% | |
| 1, Carthage | $310K | $327K | +5.5% | |
| 9, Mineral Springs | $332K | $349K | +5.1% | |
| Southern Pines | $372K | $385K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Little River · Vass · (Tract 9505.4) | $343K | $370K | +7.7% | |
| 7, McNeill | $446K | $517K | +15.9% | |
| 3, Sheffield | $127K | $143K | +12.3% | |
| 8, Sandhills | $332K | $373K | +12.1% | |
| Pinehurst | $432K | $482K | +11.6% | |
| 10, Little River | $160K | $178K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Little River · Vass · (Tract 9505.4) | $343K | $370K | $174K | |
| 8, Sandhills | $219K | $236K | $114K | |
| 4, Ritter area | $191K | $205K | $101K | |
| 1, Carthage | $182K | $196K | $86K | |
| 3, Sheffield area | $164K | $172K | $82K | |
| 3, Sheffield | $127K | $143K | $82K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.