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Nash, NC · ZIP 27856 · Census Tract 37127011101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$257K
Downside (P10)
$225K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$265K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$388K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $171K | $159K | $148K | $144K | $164K | $180K | $229K | $240K | $252K | $257K | $264K | $267K | $265K | $265K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | -6.6% | -7.0% | -2.6% | +13.9% | +9.5% | +27.3% | +5.0% | +4.8% | +2.1% | +2.8% | +1.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $234K | $231K | $225K | $233K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $324K | $349K | $388K | $295K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$234K to $324K
34.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$233K to $295K
23.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville area | $257K | $265K | +3.3% | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010604) | $233K | $257K | +10.4% | |
| Red Oak | $238K | $262K | +10.3% | |
| Coopers area | $236K | $253K | +7.0% | |
| Oak Level | $239K | $254K | +6.1% | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010505) | $215K | $228K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville area | $257K | $265K | +3.3% | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010601) | $170K | $196K | +14.8% | |
| Stony Creek | $169K | $191K | +13.4% | |
| Mannings | $164K | $183K | +11.4% | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010301) | $188K | $208K | +10.7% | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010400) | $110K | $122K | +10.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville area | $257K | $265K | $163K | |
| North Whitakers area | $179K | $191K | $88K | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010601) | $170K | $196K | $86K | |
| Griffins area | $158K | $170K | $78K | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010400) | $110K | $122K | $70K | |
| Rocky Mount (Tract 010200) | $75K | $82K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.