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Pasquotank, NC · ZIP 27909 · Census Tract 37139960701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$322K
Downside (P10)
$259K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$319K
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$494K
+53% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $180K | $192K | $208K | $205K | $217K | $231K | $267K | $296K | $319K | $322K | $323K | $331K | $319K |
| YoY Change | -1.6% | +7.1% | +7.9% | -1.1% | +5.7% | +6.4% | +15.5% | +11.0% | +7.9% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $289K | $269K | $259K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $416K | $464K | $494K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$289K to $416K
39.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$259K to $494K
73.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nixonton | $326K | $319K | -2.3% | |
| Providence (Tract 960501) | $238K | $254K | +6.8% | |
| Elizabeth City | $215K | $229K | +6.5% | |
| Salem | $341K | $352K | +3.3% | |
| Mount Hermon | $203K | $208K | +2.5% | |
| Providence (Tract 960502) | $273K | $266K | -2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nixonton | $326K | $319K | -2.3% | |
| Newland | $190K | $209K | +9.9% | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960100) | $162K | $176K | +8.5% | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960400) | $172K | $185K | +7.3% | |
| Providence | $238K | $254K | +6.8% | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960200) | $215K | $229K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nixonton | $326K | $319K | $235K | |
| Mount Hermon | $203K | $208K | $116K | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960100) | $162K | $176K | $91K | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960200) | $215K | $229K | $84K | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960300) | $156K | $164K | $77K | |
| Elizabeth City (Tract 960400) | $172K | $185K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.