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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27604 · Census Tract 37183052704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$171K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$229K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$301K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $101K | $110K | $112K | $133K | $141K | $148K | $163K | $181K | $193K | $201K | $213K | $221K | $229K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,564 | -$100,864 | -$91,564 | -$89,764 | -$68,464 | -$60,364 | -$53,764 | -$38,164 | -$20,664 | -$8,764 | +$11,064 | +$19,938 | +$27,532 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -50.1% | -45.4% | -44.6% | -34.0% | -30.0% | -26.7% | -18.9% | -10.3% | -4.4% | +5.5% | +9.9% | +13.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $179K | $173K | $171K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $247K | $264K | $301K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$179K to $247K
32.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$171K to $301K
56.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | +16.4% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | +10.7% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052409) | $228K | $249K | +9.5% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | +8.9% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052408) | $253K | $271K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | +16.4% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052408) | $253K | $271K | $142K | |
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27604 · Census Tract 37183052704 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$171K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$229K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$301K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $101K | $110K | $112K | $133K | $141K | $148K | $163K | $181K | $193K | $201K | $213K | $221K | $229K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,564 | -$100,864 | -$91,564 | -$89,764 | -$68,464 | -$60,364 | -$53,764 | -$38,164 | -$20,664 | -$8,764 | +$11,064 | +$19,938 | +$27,532 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -50.1% | -45.4% | -44.6% | -34.0% | -30.0% | -26.7% | -18.9% | -10.3% | -4.4% | +5.5% | +9.9% | +13.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $179K | $173K | $171K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $247K | $264K | $301K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$179K to $247K
32.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$171K to $301K
56.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | +16.4% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | +10.7% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052409) | $228K | $249K | +9.5% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | +8.9% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052408) | $253K | $271K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | +16.4% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052408) | $253K | $271K | $142K | |
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
